NBA Game Predictions
Daily NBA game projections powered by the Pete Ratings statistical model.
Since Nov 2, 2026: predicted winner correct in 11 of 15 games (73%), with an average miss of 9.8 points. That's still a small sample, so expect these numbers to move.
| Matchup | Model pick | Win chance | Result | Miss | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia@Chicago | Philadelphia by 9.7PHI −9.7 | 75% | Upcoming | — | — |
| LA Lakers@Detroit | Detroit by 4.7DET −4.7 | 63% | Upcoming | — | — |
| Utah@Minnesota | Minnesota by 16.9MIN −16.9 | 88% | Upcoming | — | — |
| Brooklyn@Dallas | Dallas by 7.4DAL −7.4 | 70% | Upcoming | — | — |
| Boston@Milwaukee | Boston by 13.4BOS −13.4 | 82% | Upcoming | — | — |
| New Orleans@LA Clippers | LA Clippers by 2.0LAC −2.0 | 56% | Upcoming | — | — |
| Miami@Sacramento | Miami by 6.8MIA −6.8 | 68% | Upcoming | — | — |
How to read these predictions
- Model pick
- The team the model expects to win, and by how much. The line underneath is the same prediction written the way a point spread is: HOU −8.0 means Houston by 8.
- Win chance
- How often a pick like this has won. It comes from how far past predictions typically missed, so a 70% pick should lose about 3 times in 10. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.
- Miss
- How many points the predicted margin was from the actual margin, once the game is final.
These are statistical estimates for information only, not betting advice. How Pete Ratings works